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Ending the Illusion of Control: Let’s Kick This Bad Forecasting Habit
May 6, 2009 - By: Spyros Makridakis, Robin M Hogarth & Anil Gaba
"Many reputable institutions issue regular economic forecasts that are widely cited in the international press. And yet, how accurate are these forecasts? Should we really trust them? […] In this manifesto, we note the dismal historical track record of much if not most econo ...

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